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What next in Kashmir?

What next in Kashmir?

Author: Editorial
Publication: Dawn, Karachi
Date: February 3, 2001

The Indian government's decision to withdraw some of its troops and heavy equipment from the Line of Control in Kashmir is encouraging. The lowering of the militarization level in a conflict-ridden region always proves beneficial for peace. This process had already begun along the LoC in Kashmir when Pakistan withdrew some of its forces in December in response to India's Ramazan ceasefire. It is, therefore, a positive development that the thrust of the two parties is towards defusing tension. This should promote a climate conducive to a peace dialogue, which should be the end goal of all these strategic measures. Of course, any move which has a direct impact on reducing the incidence of violence in Kashmir is welcome. At least, it leads to a lowering of the casualty figures.

In this happy scenario, one would have to add a note of disquiet though. A section of the Kashmiri militants who have links with some Pakistan-based jihadi organizations have rejected India's peace moves and stepped up their offensive. As a result, the number of casualties, which have dropped considerably following the ceasefire, are still quite high. What is worrisome is that these militant groups have not spelled out their political aims with degree of clarity. If they are thinking in terms of a military victory, they are only deluding themselves. It is time they realized that they are not in a position to drive out India with all its military might from Occupied Kashmir. Afghanistan is a good example of the failure of guerrilla fighters to clinch their initial military successes with a political process aimed at a broad-based settlement with their rivals at the negotiating table. The Vietnamese were more shrewd. They forced the Americans to quit Vietnam by negotiating peace on their own terms at the Paris conference. It is time the Kashmiri freedom fighters also pondered the implications of their jihad for the future of Kashmir.

If the conflict in Kashmir is to be resolved and a permanent solution found to the dispute, India will also be required to address the compulsions of a dialogue as well. The ceasefire in the valley and the two extensions of the truce plus the present move to withdraw some troops will not provide a permanent solution to the problem unless it is sought through a process of negotiations. Logically, the opening of a dialogue on Kashmir with the Kashmiris and Pakistan should be the immediate next step. But India has been prevaricating on this. All the members of the APHC delegation who were to visit Pakistan have not been issued passports yet. Neither has the APHC leadership been invited for talks to New Delhi. This has created an atmosphere of uncertainty about the prospects ahead. If this state of affairs continues it would strengthen the hands of the militants and cause frustration in the ranks of the moderates, which would ultimately undermine the ceasefire. It is therefore important that New Delhi should now make haste with the initiation of the actual process of contact and talks among the three principal parties. Once the peace process begins, the preachers and purveyors of violence will find themselves gradually marginalized.
 


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