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Opportunity doesn't knock twice...

Opportunity doesn't knock twice...

Author: Kamal Kant Gouri
Publication: The Pioneer
Date: October 12, 2001

With American military action in Afghanistan in full cry, it is a great opportunity for India to bring an end to the miseries inflicted on Kashmir and the nation because of Pakistan's proxy-war. Upholding national interest and not getting bogged down by its own unrealistic, moral posturing, the Indian leadership must utilise the attack on terror as a chance to set things right in its own backyard.

At the moment, it is clear that both Pakistan and the US are in a tight spot. The US has high stakes in this war. It has to win it not only to re-establish its authority as the sole superpower, but also to make the terrorists realise that it is bent on winning the first war of the 21st century. For President Bush as well, who has just started his stint from the most powerful seat of the world, losing this war is unaffordable. The public in the US is horrified at the thought of facing a "hidden" enemy on its home soil. It wouldn't spare a president who doesn't win this war. Even one month after the WTC's collapse, terror continues to stalk Americans. Their fear is reflected in their overwhelming support for war - more than 90 per cent Americans, according to a survey, have supported US action against Afghanistan.

Pakistan is in a tight spot for different reasons. It is facing the consequences of using jihad as an instrument of state policy. First, this policy was used against India, and then against Afghanistan through the Taliban. This did not stop there; through the Taliban, Pakistan has tried to expand the idea of jihad across the world. This has become clear after a link has been established between the sacked ISI chief Lt Gen Mehmood Ahmed and Mohammed Atta, one of the pilots who wrecked the WTC. This is an indicator of the Talibanisation of the ranks in the Pakistani military establishment.

Pakistan is thus under US pressure to take corrective measures. In return it may get some economic and military benefits from the Americans, but it will have to pay the price as well. The internal situation in Pakistan is clearly taking a turn for the worse. Two Pakistani provinces, which are ethnically closer to Afghanistan, are up in arms. The Baluchis and Pashtuns would not like to see their people killed in US attacks. These sections would see the altered Pakistani approach as another instance of betrayal by the Punjabi-dominated establishment.

Then there are religious and assorted fundamentalist groups which would wait for their day. The turbulence in Pakistan has made the Americans choose the northern route to wage war against the Taliban. In fact, very limited use is being made of the Pakistani territory, for the moment at least.

General Musharraf is today in the same position as Mr Nawaz Sharif. When the latter went to the US to get his country out of the international isolation that it had placed itself in by crossing LoC in Kargil, he became history. In the case of General Musharraf, history has repeated itself too soon; he could well be waiting to see another General take his place.

This spells an immense opportunity for India to extract maximum mileage on Kashmir. Since Pakistan is presently at its weakest, India must launch its proactive policy against that country, diplomatically as well as militarily.

If India takes such action against Pakistan, the Americans would certainly be concerned. The superpower would not like to see another battle in the region where it is engaged in an important war. The calls from President Bush and the forthcoming visit of Secretary of State Colin Powell clearly underlines American concerns in this regard. It shows that the US is not ruling out this possibility and desires to avert it.

In such a situation, the Indian leadership must extract the maximum advantage for the nation. Unfortunately, it appears our leaders are content with whatever partial advantages that are flowing in its direction. It is time India talked business with the US: That if it's supporting the US gameplan by not opening another battlefront, it expects support on Kashmir in return. But before that the Indian leadership must reveal its proactive policy towards Pakistan.

The Indian objective in the quid pro should be that Pakistan stop its proxy-war against India including support to terrorists in Jammu & Kashmir. Pakistan has been conducting this proxy-war for close to two decades. This war has resulted in tens of thousands of deaths apart from draining thousands of crores of rupees.

Our response to Pakistan for its "lay off India" should also be in English: "Enough is enough". Either Pakistan mends its ways or it faces the consequences. It is time the Indian political leadership showed the grit and the purpose. It must certainly not get swayed by sudden overtures of friendship from General Musharraf, who is phoning the Indian Prime Minister or inviting our Foreign Minister. And neither should it resort to moral posturing which has been its bane for the last several decades. The nation's objectives should be defined in clear terms and put into practice. The hardening of position by a nation facing proxy war for two decades is bound to make the international community see reason.
 


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