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Trust but verify

Trust but verify

Author: Udayan Namboodiri
Publication: The Pioneer
Date: October 8, 2006

Those who believe in making the naughtiest boy the class monitor forget that to make it work, you need a headmaster who is sincerely interested in maintaining order. It's all too plain to see that the "headmaster" in charge of the war on terror is just not interested whether or not Musharraf walks the talk on reining in terror directed against India

New Delhi's decision to forge a bilateral anti-terror mechanism has roused conflicting passions and forms the focus of Saturday Special this week. Security expert Ajai Sahni *(see main article)* writes on General Pervez Musharraf's chicanery, while commentator Abhay K Upadhyay *(The Other Voice) *wants to give the mercurial leader the benefit of the doubt.

A lot of people think Foreign Secretary Shiv Shankar Menon has done right to make the naughtiest boy the class monitor. That's OK till the point when you realise that naughty boys show uncanny responsibility and possibly undergo metamorphosis only when the headmaster of the school is sincere. In this case, the headoo is America. And the less said about Uncle Sam's honesty the better.

In 2002, when the American people were presented incontrovertible evidence of Musharraf's chicanery, a famous columnist recalled the words used by Franklin D Roosevelt in justification of his policy of underwriting a Panama dictator. "He may be a *** of a *****", FDR had famously stated, "but he is our *** of a *****". While this policy may work for a superpower like the United States, it would be puerile on New Delhi's part to imagine that Musharraf suit any Indian design. In fact, he got his foreign office to categorically rule out any scope of repatriating those whom India alleges had planned and executed the Mumbai train bombings in July.

Moreover, there are lessons to be learnt from the experience of those who had placed their trust in Musharraf. The mind travels back to December 2002. Hamid Karzai had just been installed as interim President of the new, post-Taliban Afghanistan. Which was the country he decided to visit first? Why, Pakistan, doubtless at the hectoring of his American patron. There was a cloud of apprehension over the future of bilateral Pak-Afghan ties. Could Karzai forget all about Musharraf's support to the Taliban which was the source of all the hardships suffered by the Afghan people for the preceding five years? But, forced by circumstances, Karzai had no choice but walk into Musharraf's embrace at Islamabad's airport.

Before long, evidence arrived that the ISI was not the least interested in giving up its "strategic depth" (which formed the bedrock of its Afghan policy through the 1990s) theory. Karzai was presented, via independent channels of proof of Pakistan-sponsored Taliban revival based on its soil. Yet, like all leaders who had drunk the heady cocktail of US-Pakistan joint resolve, he opted for discretion. In fact, his first Foreign Minister, Abdullah Abdullah, had to be shunted to the less high-profile Department of Education lest Washington felt reflected embarrassment from Islamabad.

Today, however, Karzai regrets having trusted Musharraf - showman, deceiver *par excellence* whose own people call him the biggest speaker of untruths they have seen. We saw a pretty good exhibition of that in Washington last month when the two were there at the same time. Bush had to call the two to his iftar party, but the body language displayed afterwards at the joint press conference scarcely concealed the dramatic transformation of ties. This week, there was further exacerbation when Kabul held out, for the first time ever, real time proof of the existence of terror training camps in Pakistan. These are not the usual ones meant for terrorism in the east, that is, in Jammu and Kashmir. Afghanistan's spokesman for National Directorate of Security, Sayed Ansari, paraded before the world press based in Kabul 17 terrorists, all of whom admitted to have been trained in mass murder in Pakistan.

Delhi's lack of institutional memory is indeed baffling. In January 2004, the same Musharraf who now denies harbouring the most dangerous terrorists of South Asia, had, in fact, admitted to as much. At the SAARC Summit, he had even declared that Jammu and Kashmir was a bilateral problem, that "terrorism" was happening there and, what's more, agreed to folding up the camps to pave the way for a new chapter in Indo-Pak relations. Had he been true to his word, the tide of the war against terrorism would have changed. Perhaps there would have been no Diwali bombing, the London blasts may not have occurred, not to speak of the host of other terror strikes that one can link directly to Musharraf's doublespeak.

There are many theories bandied about to explain New Delhi's inconsistency. One arm of the Government disbelieves Pakistan, while the top calls Pakistan a "victim" of terrorism. There may be a psychological explanation behind this. Perhaps official India is suffering a bout of Stockholm Syndrome, the condition in which a tormented person begins to empathise with his tormentor. In the middle are people who are basically cheerleaders of this Government. A motley lot of leftists, *jholawallah*s, secularists and party hoppers who change colour with every regime. These people, having expended all their intellectual faculties attacking Pakistan over the past decade, are now at a loss to explain the new situation. So, the most they can say in Mr Manmohan Singh's support is: "He has an 'out-of-the-box' solution". And, finally, there are those who still, a fortnight since Havana and a month to go before the Foreign Secretary level talks, can believe that this is happening.


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