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archive: The jehadi: Pak's new big player

The jehadi: Pak's new big player

Bharat Bhushan
The Hindustan Times
July 19, 1999


    Title: The jehadi: Pak's new big player
    Author: Bharat Bhushan
    Publication: The Hindustan Times
    Date: July 19, 1999 
    
    New political personality is emerging in Pakistani politics which is
    outside the electoral process but is influencing society through its
    restlessness, turbulence and a belligerence arising out of a perceived
    sense of injustice.  The jehadi, a by-product of both Pakistan's
    Afghan policy and the failure of the State to deliver	either
    economically or socially, now threatens to push Pakistani politics
    rightwards.
    
    The threat of religious extremism is more pronounced in some areas
    than in others and is qualitatively different in different parts of
    Pakistan.  The term "Talibanisation" may be a good approximation to
    describe the developments of the Islamic fundamentalist forces in
    parts of the North-West Frontier Province, the Northern Areas and
    Balochistan which have seen Afghan influence.  However, in Pakistan
    Punjab it is best described as the growth of Islamic sectarianism
    between the Shias and Sunnis.
    
    Overarching these developments and feeding into them directly are  two
    other important factors.  One is what some Pakistanis, pointing to the
    growing influence of religious schools run from mosques, call the
    "madrasa-isation" of society.  Another is the overall shift that has
    taken place in Pakistani democratic politics - from the Pakistan
    People's Party which was relatively more secular and describes itself
    as modernist, to the Pakistan Muslim Leagi4e which has appropriated
    the idiom and, to an extent, the agenda of the religious
    fundamentalists.
    
    Referring to the consequences of Pakistan's Afghan policy, a Pakistani
    political observer said, "The politics of expediency leads to the law
    of unforeseen consequences.  Our inability to recognise the domestic
    consequences of certain kind of international behaviour is a prime
    example of this.  If the first phase of the Afghan policy, when we
    were hand-in-glove with the Americans, led to the drug and gun culture
    in Pakistan, the second, the post-Taliban phase, has fuelled extremist
    religious forces and unprecedented sectarian violence here."
    
    Saba Khattak of the Sustainable Development Policy Institute said, "It
    is not as if the Taliban influence is a future threat.  It is already
    happening.
    
    Under the influence of the local mullahs, the Governor of NWFP has
    already imposed the Sharia by signing the Shariah Nizam-I-Adl
    Regulation 1999 in the Malakand Division.  This means that two sets of
    laws will apply in Pakistan.  And this has been accepted by the
    government.
    
    Was not Nawaz Sharif himself trying to bring in the Sharia Bill
    through the Fifteenth Constitutional Amendment?  So, these trends are
    already there."
    
    Except for those involved with the Afghan policy, opinion makers here
    seem to accept that the Afghan djinn has come out of the bottle.
    
    They, however, do not believe that to be the determining factor in the
    growth of religious extremism, claiming that the fallout of
    Afghanistan merely provided the context.
    
    Frustrations of several kinds, they argue, have eroded some of the
    fundamental structures of society and fuelled the belief that the
    state sector can neither deliver economically nor in terms of human
    development.
    
    Under these circumstances, a millenarian message which promises
    miracles and argues for a return to the faith and to martial law has
    an appeal, they suggest.
    
    "The developments in Afghanistan and the Iranian revolution have both
    impacted the Pakistani psyche in ways that most outsiders don't
    understand," said one.  Asfundiyar Wali, leader of the secular Awami
    National Party, plays down the growing importance of the madrasas
    saying that "they are only an improved version of the mosque" and that
    if these had been politically effective, then there would be a cause
    to worry.
    
    However, others point out that Pakistan's expenditure on education
    proportional to the Gross Domestic Product is less than that of even
    Bhutan's at 1.6 per cent.  The existing schools are unevenly spread
    and meet only half the need - 98 million out of 135 million Pakistanis
    are illiterate and 16 million children have no school to go to.  It is
    this gap that the madrasa tries to fill.
    
    The State of Human Rights Report of Pakistan 1998, quoting official
    reports on the madrasas says, "1,200 of these institutions were run by
    religio-political parties.
    
    Some 150 are reported to be nurseries for terrorism, with at least six
    in Punjab declared sensitive and needing surveillance, with action
    recommended against 200 of the teachers."
    
    Instead of taking them head on, the government has in fact had to
    retract a requirement for the madrasas to teach basic mathematics and
    science for fear of a religious backlash!
    
    As one commentator put it, "By producing children with an archaic
    value system, these religious seminaries create a support base for the
    Talibanisation of Pakistan, although it may be a very strong term to
    use as of now."
    
    In Pakistan Punjab, the religious fundamentalist group are largely
    sectarian "It is not Talibanisation but religious sectarianism between
    the Shias and the Sunnis.  The Lashkar-I-Jhangvi, the armed wing of
    the Sunni grouping, Sipah-e-Saheba, is carrying out a vendetta against
    those belonging to the Sipah-I-Mohammed, the militant wing of the Shia
    organisation, the Tehrik-I-Jafaria.  The only redeeming thing is that
    they don't have much support.  If they gain mass support, then they
    will create a vertical divide in society.
    
    The worst affected will be the Pakistan Army.  The State will not
    allow that to happen," claimed Kahild Mahmud of the Institute of
    Regional Studies.
    
    It is only the Lashkar-I-Tayyeba which, although based in Punjab, is
    above ethnic and religious sectarianism.
    
    Its influence has grown in the last two years and its annual
    congregations are bigger than the annual congresses that political
    parties may be able to organise.  It is the Lashkar-I-Tayyeba which
    may represent a real potential organised threat to the Pakistani
    political class.
    
    While Pakistan's political parties are unable to attract even 50
    people for a demonstration, the jehadis are getting more than ten
    times that number even in Islamabad.
    
    The westernised, modernistic elite of Pakistan understands the threat
    from these forces which operate outside the political framework and
    yet have emerged as important centres of power.
    
    A number of people, however, believe that the situation is still
    manageable as potential effective countervailing forces are present in
    Pakistani society.  But they fear that this may not be so ten years
    down the line.
    
    They believe that if the economy bounces back, the democratic
    institutions of the state are strengthened and the people begin to
    think that they can deliver social and economic justice, then
    religious extremism can be checked.
    
    More importantly, they believe that the Nawaz Sharif government
    instead of checking the forces of religious extremism has been
    creating a helpful atmosphere for their growth.
    
    "Nawaz Sharif thinks that he is being clever in adopting their
    agenda.  He should know that this is the slippery slope of
    compromise.  They will gain by this, not him."
    



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