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Friend or Foe? - Pakistan's Janus face: having it both ways with Bin Laden

Friend or Foe? - Pakistan's Janus face: having it both ways with Bin Laden

Author: David Makovsky
Publication: US News and World Report online
Date: September 24, 2001
URL: http://www.usnews.com/usnews/issue/010924/010924/misc/24world.b.htm

Pakistani military ruler Gen. Pervez Musharraf spoke soothing words, promising Washington his country's "unstinted cooperation in the fight against terrorism." But political analysts counsel caution. It isn't the first time that Islamabad, an U.S. ally during the Cold War, has promised Washington that it would exploit its links to the Taliban and cough up Osama bin Laden.

As it launches its offensive to root out terrorists and punish their supporters, the Pentagon has a wish list for Musharraf. Pakistan is unlikely to approve American bases on its soil though it may permit over flights. It appears undecided on sharing intelligence on the Saudi-born fanatic's operations. "Pakistan is bin Laden's patron and may not have the political will to buck [him]," says Ray Takeyh of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

Strong ties. The multimillionaire terror monger was allowed to use Pakistan as a base for six years during the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, and he has maintained personnel and storage bases and a communication network. It is an arrangement of mutual benefit. Retired Pakistani general's profit by selling him millions of dollars' worth of weapons. He and his Taliban hosts have also provided perhaps 40 percent of the mujahideen foot soldiers fighting Pakistan's long-simmering conflict with India in Kashmir. Bin Laden has also become a financial patron of Pakistan's numerous Islamic religious seminaries, boosting adulation among the faithful and winning new adherents to his brand of radical Islam.

In return, sources say, Pakistan has provided bin Laden's agents with travel documents. And a Pakistani military hospital has treated him on more than one occasion for kidney problems.

Such a cozy and profitable relationship with the prime suspect in the world's most notorious act of terrorism gives Islamabad reason to fear American wrath. With the United States vowing hostilities against any state supporting terror groups, Pakistan finds itself squarely in the cross hairs. Beyond direct military action, the United States has other weapons: It can isolate Pakistan diplomatically, try to halt much-needed loans from the International Monetary Fund, or even intervene on India's behalf in the Kashmir conflict.

Takeyh of the Washington Institute believes that Pakistan faces difficult and complex choices, with little room for compromise. Bin Laden's connection to Pakistan's religious associations, intelligence services, and senior military officers is so intimate that even if Musharraf is willing to cooperate with the United States, he would be obstructed at every level. Says the Near East expert: "America's longtime Cold War ally is both ideologically and strategically invested in the vitality of bin Laden's terror network."
 


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