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Secrets and lies

Secrets and lies

Author: Editorial
Publication: The Times, UK
Date: January 20, 2004

Musharraf must shed light on Pakistan's nuclear dealings

The plot thickens. US and UN allegations that Pakistani nuclear weapons technology may have been shared with Iran, Libya and North Korea over the past two decades have prompted a flurry of supposed investigation inside the country.

The Pakistani Government, which values the relationship it has developed with Washington, denies that it has transferred nuclear technology to Libya or North Korea - though officials do concede that individual rogue scientists may conceivably have sold nuclear technology to Iran in the late 1980s. Equally, the Pakistani Government says that it had nothing to do with a separate alleged plot, by a South African businessman now under arrest in the United States, to export trigger devices. American investigators say that the large number of triggers has raised the possibility of covert Pakistani government involvement.

Encouraged by President Musharraf's weekend speech to parliament, in which he said that Pakistan must convince the world that it is not a proliferator of nuclear weapons, officials have questioned several military officers and nuclear weapons experts close to Abdul Qadeer Khan, the father of Pakistan's nuclear programme.

The role of Dr Khan himself is so far undefined. During questioning in December, this national hero - the creator of Pakistan's first nuclear bomb in 1998, after whom the nuclear A. Q. Khan Research Laboratories are named - said that nuclear cooperation with Iran in the late 1980s was authorised by the army.

What he knows about any subsequent transfers has not been made clear, although the fact that his assistant was detained while dining at Dr Khan's home on Saturday evening suggests that investigators see a link.

Conspiracy theories abound. The family of one detained scientist accuses the Pakistani Government of detaining low-level scientists as scapegoats to appease the United States. Such rumours flow from the failure of the Pakistani administration to prove that it has not, tacitly or explicitly, been a serial proliferator.

Common sense suggests that a handful of rogue scientists, however gifted and high-ranking, cannot proliferate alone. Pakistan's nuclear arsenal is closely guarded by the military; it seems inconceivable that this sensitive technology could have been transferred without any military or government knowledge. The network of transfers becoming visible in the wake of Libya's recent surprise disclosure of its nuclear weapons programme constituted a significant international business spread across countries and continents. Components of Libya's uranium-enrichment facilities, for example, were reportedly manufactured in Malaysia as recently as 2001.

President Musharraf must explain himself, making clear who in power was behind the spread of nuclear know-how and why. Dabbling in the nuclear trade is not in the interests of a country rebuilding its economy and international profile.

The secretive transfers of the past appear to have been from state to state, but the willingness of scientists to deal in this deadly equipment raises the prospect of sales to terrorist groups. If ungovernable elements in Pakistan's military-intelligence establishment have been at work, it is up to President Musharraf to take action and provide a more coherent explanation both to the UN and to his own people.

He is trying to satisfy both political opponents and the international community, but, unless he is prepared to take concentrated action, the dangers of proliferation will not recede.
 


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